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Liverpool vs Manchester City - Back City to Win

July 06, 2026 Ā· Tips

Liverpool vs Manchester City is one of the Premier League's marquee fixtures. City arrive as league leaders with a 1.85 ELO advantage over the Reds, who've slipped to fourth following recent inconsistency.

Stats & Form

Manchester City's away xG differential stands at +0.38 per 90 this season—elite efficiency in hostile environments. Liverpool's home record shows vulnerability: 2 losses in their last 6 fixtures at Anfield. City have won 3 of their last 4 H2H encounters. Erling Haaland (12 PL goals) vs Liverpool's suspect defending suggests value.

xG Metrics: City 1.6 xG vs Liverpool's 1.2 xG in comparable recent matches. City's press resistance and Rodri's midfield control have been decisive factors.

The Pick

Back Manchester City to Win at 1.95 odds on 1Win. A £50 stake returns £97.50. City's tactical superiority, Haaland's form, and Liverpool's defensive fragility point toward a comfortable away victory.

Why 1Win

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