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Liverpool vs Manchester City - Liverpool Win & Over 2.5 Goals

October 10, 2026 · Tips

Liverpool host Manchester City in a blockbuster Premier League clash. The Reds have dominated recent form with 5 wins in their last 6 matches, while City struggle with defensive vulnerabilities following injuries to key players.

Key Stats

Liverpool Form: 5W-1D in last 6 PL games. xG per match: 2.1. ELO rating: 1878 (up 45 points this season).

Manchester City Form: 2W-3D-1L in last 6. xG per match: 1.6. Missing key defenders (Akanji, GĂłmez). ELO: 1841.

Head-to-Head: Liverpool 4W-2D vs City in last 6 meetings. Last 3 at Anfield: Liverpool 2W-1D.

Attacking Threat: Liverpool's front three (Salah, Diaz, Jota) average 2.8 shots on target per game. City's backline has conceded 12 goals in 5 matches—a season-high vulnerability.

The Pick

Recommended Bet: Liverpool Win + Over 2.5 Goals

Odds on 1Win: 2.15 (combined)

Liverpool's superior form, ELO advantage, and City's defensive crisis make the Reds strong favourites. With both teams' attacking prowess, expect an open, high-scoring affair. Over 2.5 total goals is highly probable given City's weak rearguard.

Why 1Win

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