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Liverpool vs Manchester City - Liverpool to Win

September 26, 2026 Ā· Tips

Liverpool host Manchester City in a crucial Premier League clash. The Reds come into this fixture with superior recent form, boasting a 2.1 xG average over their last five matches compared to City's 1.8 xG. Liverpool's home record at Anfield sits at an impressive 72% win rate this season.

Stats & Analysis

ELO Rating: Liverpool 2084 vs Manchester City 2091 (near parity, slight City edge). Head-to-Head: Liverpool 4W-2D-3L in last 9 meetings. xG (Last 5): Liverpool 10.5 xG for, 7.2 xG against; City 9.0 xG for, 8.1 xG against. Form: Liverpool WWWDW (last 5 matches); City WWWLW. Key advantage: Liverpool's defensive structure limits City's dominant possession play at Anfield.

The Pick

Back Liverpool to Win (1X2) at odds of 2.45 on 1Win. Liverpool's home fortress combined with City's recent inconsistency presents premium value. Alternative: Liverpool -0.5 AH at 1.92 for safer margins.

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