Liverpool vs Manchester City - Liverpool to Win

July 22, 2026 · Tips

Liverpool vs Manchester City shapes up as a Premier League heavyweight clash. The Reds host City at Anfield, where they've dominated in recent seasons.

Key Stats

Liverpool: xG average 2.1 per match (last 5 games), ELO rating +85 vs City in home advantage. Salah and Nunez combining for 12 goals in last 8 PL matches. Clean sheets: 3 in last 5 home games.

Manchester City: Injury concerns in midfield (Rodri sidelined), xG output dipped to 1.8 per match. Away record: 1W-2D in last 5. Head-to-head: Liverpool won 2 of last 3 at Anfield.

The Pick

Bet Liverpool Win at 2.45 odds on 1Win. The Reds exploit City's away struggles and midfield weaknesses. Back Liverpool's superior possession-based attack at home.

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